September 08, 2005

polled out

Is it just me, or are political polls getting less, and less useful?

There is some discussion in the quieter backwaters of political science and journalism that the polls are getting less accurate. The idea is that fewer people are prepared to spend 20 minutes answering a bunch of questions. Effectively, they are self-selecting, and skewing the results.

If this is the case, it would suggest that the margin of error for most polls is higher than the one they report.

In the meantime, it would be nice if journalists read this article about the flaws in surveys, so they could report with a little less breathlessness.

Posted by carla at September 8, 2005 11:17 AM
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