September 01, 2005

reunification

I think Brash is doing well because he is gathering both neo liberal and conservative votes.

His credentials as a Governor of the Reserve Bank and ACT crony are quite enough to keep any free market radical thinking he's the real deal. His gentlemanly approach to woman and his racial purism are enough to convince conservatives that he will turn around the social liberalism of the last, well, 30 years I guess.

I say this because National's increase in popularity has been at the expense of the small parties of the right and middle. Labour has held its ground well (and most of the loss is accounted for by Maori Party votes).

Its the biggest challenge to the leader of a major party, how to bring home all the votes from your side of the fence. It doesn't matter how much of the middle you get if your core vote is off dallying with fringe parties. This problem beset Labour from 1990 to 1996 and National from 1999 to 2002.

I find it curious that his odd combination of conservatism and liberalism is working, where English's blend (which is very similar) failed so spectacularly. In that he is very similar to Bush I think.

I also wonder whether Brash is the last of an old breed and National is just delaying the process of inventing the next generation of right-wing consensus builders.

Posted by carla at September 1, 2005 11:54 AM
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